2024 key highlights:
- Safety focus: Protecting employee health and well-being remains an overarching priority of the Company. LTIF rate of 0.70x in FY 2024 and 0.92x in FY 2023. Business specific plans have been developed to implement the recommendations of the Company-wide safety audit by dss+
- Resilient operating results despite challenging market conditions: FY 2024 EBITDA of $7.1bn (EBITDA/tonne of $130/t), reflects structural business improvements and the benefits of regional/product diversification
- Adjusted net income: FY 2024 net income of $1.3bn was impacted by non-cash and exceptional items totaling $1.0bn (including impairments2, restructuring costs3 and one-off tax charges4). Adjusted net income for FY 2024 was $2.3bn (adjusted basic EPS of $2.95)5
- Cash flow being reinvested for growth and shareholder returns: Over the past 12 months, the Company has generated net cash provided by operating activities of $4.9bn and spent maintenance/normative capex of $2.8bn resulting in investable cash flow of $2.0bn. Out of this, the Company invested $1.3bn on strategic growth capex projects, returned $1.7bn to ArcelorMittal shareholders and allocated a net $0.6bn to M&A. The Company has grown the business, rewarded shareholders (all-in cash yield of 8.4%) all whilst maintaining a strong balance sheet
- Maintaining financial strength: Net debt at the end of 2024 was $5.1bn (gross debt of $11.6bn and cash and cash equivalents of $6.5bn). Year-end 2024 liquidity totaled $12.0bn9
- Share repurchases driving enhanced value: During 2024, the Company repurchased 52 million shares6, reducing the total shares outstanding by 6.3% and bringing the fully diluted share count reduction since September 2020 to 37%. Book value per share is $64/sh at the end of 2024
Strategic priorities
Strategic growth update: The Group‘s high return strategic growth projects are now expected to increase EBITDA potential by $1.9bn7 (previously $1.8bn), with a $0.4bn benefit to EBITDA targeted in 2025, despite delays to some smaller projects:
- Targeting $0.2bn EBITDA contribution in 2025 from completed projects in India (1GW renewables) and Brazil (Vega CMC)
- Liberia iron ore expansion revised to 20Mt: A multiple product sinter feed and concentrate approach, together with a revised mining plan and additional investment in infrastructure, allows for an additional 5Mt per annum of marketable material vs. the previous approved plan. The first concentrate production was achieved in 4Q 2024, with ramp up to 20Mt run-rate capacity expected by the end of 2025. Project capex has been revised to $1.8bn (from $1.4bn previously) with EBITDA potential increased to $450m (from $350m previously) with $0.2bn EBITDA targeted in 2025 from ~10Mt of shipments (with the majority of shipments expected in 2H 2025)
- New state-of-the-art 1.5Mt EAF at AMNS Calvert (US) near completion, with commissioning underway. This will be the first EAF in North America capable of supplying exposed automotive grades with domestically melted and poured material
- New electrical steel plant to be constructed in Calvert (100% owned by ArcelorMittal) with capacity to deliver up to 150Kt of premium non-grain-oriented electrical steel (NOES) annually. Net capex to build the plant is estimated at $0.9bn8 with production anticipated to commence in 2H 2027 and expected annual EBITDA impact of $0.2bn at full capacity
Economic decarbonization: ArcelorMittal continues to optimize its decarbonization pathway to ensure competitiveness and an appropriate return on investment. Large scale decarbonization projects are advancing at a slower pace than originally anticipated due to insufficient policy/market developments. Current investments are focused on the new EAF at Gijón (Spain) and the EAF expansion at Sestao (Spain) which are intended to further expand the Company’s offering of XCarb® low carbon emissions steel
Capital returns: As of the end of December 31, 2024, 92% of the current 85m share buy-back program has been completed. The Board proposes to increase the annual base dividend to shareholders to $0.55/sh in FY 2025 (from $0.50/sh in FY 2024), to be paid in two equal installments in June 2025 and December 2025, subject to the shareholders' approval at the 2025 AGM. The Company will continue to return a minimum of 50% of post-dividend free cash flow to shareholders via share buybacks
Outlook
- Company believes demand will increase during 2025: The Company expects higher apparent demand in FY 2025 compared to FY 2024. With low inventory levels, especially in Europe, the Company is optimistic that restocking activity will supplement real demand improvement
- Capex discipline in support of growth and competitive decarbonization: Capex in 2025 is projected to be within the range of $4.5-$5.0bn, including $1.4-$1.5bn on our strategic growth projects and $0.3-$0.4bn on projects related to decarbonization
- Positive free cash flow outlook in 2025 and beyond: Cash flow in 2025 is expected to be supported by working capital optimization. The completion of the Company’s strategic growth projects is expected to support structurally higher EBITDA and investable cash flow in the coming periods